Bitcoin started the week on a positive note, going up by 0.6% and hitting $69,018.9 early Monday. This slight bump came after a tough weekend of losses, which got many traders worried. What’s interesting is the 42% spike in trading volume over the past day—an indicator that people are paying attention and ready to jump in. But what’s behind all this back-and-forth?
Election Buzz: Why It’s Making Crypto Jittery
With the U.S. presidential election just around the corner, the crypto market is feeling the effects of political tension. The close race between Donald Trump and Kamala Harris is adding uncertainty, and investors are responding. Trump, known for his crypto-friendly stance, has generally encouraged investor optimism, while Harris has pushed for more regulation, though her policies remain unclear. Betting markets like Polymarket recently showed Harris’ odds rising from 35% to 43%, while Trump’s dropped from 66% to 57%.
This shift in expectations has added to Bitcoin’s price fluctuations.
How the Fed Is Keeping Traders on Edge
While the election has everyone guessing, the Federal Reserve’s next move is also weighing on the market. The Fed is set to cut rates by 25 basis points in November, following a bigger 50-point cut in September. Traders are keeping an eye on what the Fed signals next. Inflation has eased a bit, with September’s rate at 2.1%, down from 2.3% in August. Wage growth also slowed down, with a modest 0.8% rise last quarter—the lowest since 2021. Since the Fed’s meeting is just a day after the election, any decisions could stir things up in the crypto world.
Potential Boost for Bitcoin? Key Scenarios to Watch
If inflation continues to cool while the economy stays steady, the Fed might consider more rate cuts. Currently, markets see a 94% chance of a 25-point rate cut in November and a 70% chance of another in December. If the Fed hints at additional cuts, Bitcoin could benefit. However, the election outcome could disrupt any positive momentum.
As election day and the Fed’s decisions approach, Bitcoin faces a volatile road ahead where every development could sway the market.
What do you think will happen to Bitcoin’s price after the election and Fed decision? Share your thoughts.
