Bitcoin $104,786.02 Prices have recently been showing a positive course, while market analysts bring various forecast models to the level of what level Bitcoin can rise in this cycle. Experts are trying to determine reasonable price ranges using a number of over -chain valuation models and loop timing tool. However, it is stated that predictions should be supported by data -based response, and the final estimates can always be misleading.
Price estimation models and principles
Bitcoin has been used in the past to predict price movements in the past. Bitcoin Magazine Pro’s free price estimation tools are one of these models. The Top Cap model predicts potential high levels by multiplying the average values in the past with 35. However, this model made incorrect predictions in the previous cycles. On the other hand, Delta ball and terminal Price models presented more reasonable and consistent results. In particular, the Terminal Price model predicted the loop peaks in a more realistic way based on the movements in the chain, and currently envisages a hill of around $ 221,000.
Delta Top offers a more conservative estimation based on the difference between the total Bitcoin cost and the realization of values. This model envisaged a summit between about 80,000 and 100,000 dollars in the previous cycle. Although both models are widely evaluated among analysts, it is emphasized that existing data can change continuously and therefore model forecasts can be updated over time.
Summit Estimation and Role of Timing
Another important indicator, the MVRV ratio, compare the value of Bitcoin with the current market value and an idea of investor psychology. Historically, the MVRV usually approaches 4 levels at the summit of large cycles. Current data shows that this rate is at the level of 2.34, and it is considered that this indicates that the rise potential in the market has yet to continue.
Looking at the past cycles, the MVRV ratio approaches 3.5 to 4 levels. However, this cycle may not be reached in this cycle due to the declining returns, but rather a level of 3.5 may be the climax. At this point, it is stated that more realistic and cautious predictions should be taken as basis.
Target Price Calculation and Cycle Calendar
When the price reaches the hill, it stands out as an important element for analysts. According to the analyzes, the price of Bitcoin in previous loops reached the summit about 1,060 days after the bottom. In the current situation, this cycle is left behind 930 days, so a new summit can be seen after about 130 days.
At the end of the cycle in 2017 and 2021, the average investor cost increased rapidly. It is estimated that this increase may continue and if the current trend continues, it is estimated that investors’ realized price level may increase to $ 78,000 with an additional rise. Considering the MVRV ratio, the level of $ 273,000 as a potential summit is proposed mathematically. However, the rapid changes in the market supply-demand balance may lead to high price fluctuations in a short time.
According to many experts, these estimates are extremely ambitious, but the band of $ 150,000 to 200,000 is seen as a strong possibility. It is evaluated that existing modeling tools maintain their dynamism according to market conditions and that sudden market enthusiasm can lead to overcoming these levels.
“Although it is difficult to estimate the definitive price, more likely predictions can be obtained with historical data and over -chain analyzes. The best approach is to act with reaction to data and to adapt to market dynamics.”
Various technical indicators and cycle timing offer significant references in decision -making processes for investors. However, since no model alone promises certainty, it is recommended to use multiple models and data sources in investment decisions.
Although there is no definite answer to exactly where Bitcoin price will peak, various over -chain valuation tools and historical cycle analyzes can offer investors a reasonable perspective. Terminal Price and MVRV vehicles have successfully shown the saturation points on the market in the past. Although the target of $ 273,000 is ambitious by some analysts, it is stated that it is based on model calculations and existing network data. Investors are advised to use such vehicles as a guide in determining forward -looking strategy and follow the market data closely and act flexible.
Responsibility Rejection: The information contained in this article does not contain investment advice. Investors should be aware that crypto currencies carry high volatility and thus risk and carry out their operations in line with their own research.
