Next month Fed The first interest rate cut of 2025, but the concerns about September are quite high. First of all, we will talk about the fear pumped by historical data. Then we will discuss risks and expectations. You will find the important details that need to know the days before September.
Crypto coins will fall in September
There are a few reasons to support this view, and the first one is historical data. Today, as Lark Davis draws attention, historically September Bitcoin $112,322.09 for the worst months. In the last 12 years in September BTC It lost an average of 3.77 %. How November or October has been seen in the opposite of the opposite of September in September.
Sharing the above graph, Davis cannot guarantee that this time will be the same, but the historical data in the crypto usually repeats. If we see a decrease, we will probably see the headlines “Historical data did not mislead”.
Another detail is Benjamin Cowen’s market evaluation this evening.
“Bitcoin Dominance will tend to rise in September/October. The liquidity will return to the king.
Some of the previous lower/btc rally started in the summer continued until the end of August. Therefore, if you are currently following Altcoins as in the last few summer, remember that the situation will change slightly at the end of the 3rd quarter when liquidity returned to BTC. ”
But the detail that needs to be considered here is that the decline will be in the BTC parity. In other words, horizontal or upward results can be seen in the USD parity. Altcoins that earn less than BTC BTC It regresses in its parity.
Risks in crypto
Let’s talk about the flow of news when we say historical data, repeats, technical structures. I summarize potential risks in substances for the next 30-60 days. A few of the following developments can occur at the same time, they can all, but these are potential decrease triggers.
- Even if the first interest rate reduction comes, we can begin to see the effects of the FED’s politicization in the global economy as of September. This is not good for the crypto.
- New developments in the legal war between Cook and Trump can cause the first article to exacerbate.
- September In the first 2 weeks of the month, Trump can activate secondary sanctions if he sees that Putin does not take the steps he wants.
- In September, new employment and inflation reports can deterd Powell, and we can see conflicts that are reflected in the Fed with Trump supporters.
- As it progresses to November, an important period for the September Chinese talks and the increase in tension between the two countries can make new tariff threats difficult.
- Trump can explain new sanctions and taxes due to digital taxes and other issues that are disturbed to the EU.
Apart from all these, we should always keep in mind that Trump is full of surprises.
Responsibility Rejection: The information contained in this article does not contain investment advice. Investors should be aware that crypto currencies carry high volatility and thus risk and carry out their operations in line with their own research.