Crypto currency Investors were waiting for the repetition of 25BP in October and repetition of it in December. But things don’t always go as you want. In the warnings we made for this week PCE data Although it is good, we mentioned that expectations for employment figures pointed out to recover, which was an annoying detail. Today, the first important data of the week came.
Willn’t interest rates fall?
For the last 10 days, we have shared the current market evaluations of the FED member around 10 days. What we saw here was that the dominant majority of the Fed members rise in inflation more seriously. Apart from 3 members, there was no terrible contraction in employment. Although the previous employment figures scare the Fed and pull the interests down, Jolts And consumer trust data is annoying for both inflation and employment.
Interests may not fall and will come on Friday Non -agricultural employmentExpectation or explanation of unemployment rate reports may finalize the opinion of leaving interest rates constant. This is a decrease in a more cut Crypto Coins It will mean coating. Crypto sometimes macro winds become extremely unconcerned if we are not going to see such an exception at least at the risk of decreasing.
US jolst
We shared the numbers as a last minute and warned a decrease. When we go into the details of the report, we see that the number of job advertisements in the construction and manufacturing sectors in the last month has decreased. There was an increase in other sectors. Recruitments experienced a slight increase compared to the same period last year. While job advertisements fell 7.2m in the same period of the last year, 7.2m in July and rose to 7.22m in August. Well employment We can say that the contraction does not continue.
Open job positions were at 7,649m in August 2024 and saw the 7,712m level in May 2025 and fell to 7.22 in August. According to July 2025, we can talk about the recollection of employment because there is recovery here.
Confirming this appearance on Friday, confirming this appearance may allow the majority of the FED members who have over 2 %target for 4.5 %have taken back from interest rate cuts. This is not very good.
US consumer trust
Consumer trust The most important detail in the report is in the 12 -month inflation expectation. Consumers, whose expectation of inflation has fallen on top of three months, has started to rise again. In August, 6.2 %was exceeded and we saw a figure above 5.7 %in July. Nevertheless, we are talking about the number of 7 %ceiling fed by fear of tariff in April. The latest PCE data revealed the fear of fear.
The Conference Board Global Indicators Stephanie Guichard said;
“The current situation and expectation components have weakened. In particular, consumers’ assessments of current job opportunities declined for eight months, but more powerful views on the current work conditions made the decline in the current situation index. Meanwhile, the pessimism of future job opportunities increased slightly and the optimism of future income was slightly decreased.
Consumers’ written answers showed that the references to customs duties have increased slightly and continued to be associated with concerns about price increases. On the other hand, high prices, including food and market products, and references to inflation increased again in August. ”
