XRPis preparing to close the week with a sharp decline, losing strength in the middle of the October rally. Bitcoin 
$111,489.43 and BNB testing new highs, Ripple 
$2.40‘s altcoin dropped to fifth place in size by market cap. Famous artificial intelligence model ChatGPT‘s short-term assessment indicates that the risks outweigh the liquidity shift to leading assets, the weakening of momentum, and the price falling below critical levels. The possibility of decline stands out in the basic scenarios for the coming week.
Current Outlook on XRP
The short-term technical outlook for XRP points to a return to the downward trend after a horizontal course. The decline in the ranking by market capitalization and the loss from the 21-week average caused damage to investor confidence. Bitcoin with BNB‘s record renewal increased the relative power gap and accelerated the capital outflow from the basket that includes the rest. The fact that the Relative Strength Index (RSI) on the daily time frame is approaching the neutral/oversold band indicates that the momentum has cooled significantly.
On the liquidity flow side, the picture is similar. Leader altcoinIncreasing demand in the ‘s limited XRP’s reaction attempts. According to the analysis, the price weakened the structure by falling below the 2.70 and 2.50 supports. On the downside, $2.20 and $2.00 are prominent defensive levels. For now, the trend is downwards in the short term, so the likelihood of a rapid recovery remains low unless a strong catalyst appears in the news flow.
ChatGPT’s Expectation Map
The first threshold for the upside is the recovery of the lost $2.70, followed by a promotion to the major from the intermediate resistance in the 3.00–3.10 band. ChatGPT’s analysis gives a 45-50 percent probability that the decline will continue gradually. In such a case, the $2.10 target corresponds to a squeeze approaching the $2.20–2.00 defensive line. The artificial intelligence model sees the possibility of consolidation in the 30-35 percent band. This scenario corresponds to the price holding at $2.20 but not exceeding $2.70. The least likely is a 20-25 percent chance of an attack above $3.00. For this, there is a significant increase in volume and Ripple A new upward catalyst is needed from the front.
As the timing window approaches mid-October, weekly closings become increasingly important. In buying and selling decisions, daily closings below $2.20 increase risks, while closings above 2.70 may provide short-term relief. Topics to watch include momentum in leading assets, total market liquidity, direction of the RSI and volume profile. Possible surprises in the news flow can accelerate the transition between scenarios.
