XRP has shown some bullish action in the short term, climbing back above key support levels. However, a closer look at long-term technical indicators reveals that this rally may be temporary. According to recent analysis, XRP could be entering a period of correction that may last several weeks or even months.
Bearish Divergence on the Weekly Chart
One of the strongest warning signals comes from the weekly time frame. Analysts have confirmed a bearish divergence on the XRP chart. This happens when the price makes higher highs, but the Relative Strength Index (RSI) makes lower highs.
The last time such a pattern appeared was between late 2020 and early 2021. That divergence led to a 60% drop in XRP’s price over a span of about three months. While the price did bounce during that period, the overall trend remained negative for a while.
What History Tells Us
The previous bearish divergence saw XRP experience short-term recoveries, but those were followed by deeper pullbacks. From April to July 2021, for example, XRP dropped sharply despite a brief 70% bounce in between.
This tells us that while short-term gains are possible, larger bearish trends often dominate, especially when they are supported by strong technical signals like the current divergence on the weekly chart.
Current Market Behavior
Right now, XRP is trading around $3.05 after a strong recovery from recent lows. The coin has managed to break back above the $2.90 support zone, which could now act as a short-term support area between $2.90 and $3.00. The resistance levels are around $3.10–$3.20, and possibly even $3.40.
The current price pattern looks very similar to what XRP showed at the start of 2025. Back then, XRP surged, held a key level for some time, then broke below support and entered a prolonged downtrend. Even though there were some strong recoveries, the overall direction remained negative for months.
This is raising concerns that XRP might be repeating that same cycle now, especially with the bearish divergence already confirmed on the weekly chart.
